Kas then denounced an increase in the number of refugees and displaced persons which inevitably affects the economic, security and humanitarian situation in Darfur - more than 30 refugees have crossed the border into Chad since the beginning of the conflict – and stressed that the implementation of the peace agreement needs a "good political environment", as well as international and regional support, to achieve a situation of stability and security in the scourged Darfur region. “The security situation in Darfur has deteriorated and there has been an increasing security chaos compared to before,” said Kas, who believes that to achieve peace and security across Sudan it is necessary “to work to remove root causes of war". Interviewed by "Agenzia Nova", Mohamed Kas, political secretary of the Sudan Liberation Army-Transitional Council (Sla-Tc) – one of the signatory groups of the Juba Agreement with the Government of Sudan – stated that the conflict has had repercussions on the implementation of the Juba Agreement and, although the signatories have so far not taken part in either faction, it is by no means certain that this cannot happen at a later time. When asked by "Agenzia Nova", a source of Fact however stated that the group does not support any part of the conflict in Sudan, since both sides have good relations with the current military junta of N'Djamena, thus denying any link with the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) of General Mohamed Hamdan "Hemeti" Dagalo.Ī significant role in the conflict in Sudan could be played by the Darfur rebel groups, signatories of the peace agreement signed in Juba in October 2020, who could decide to intervene if the conflict were to escalate, although so far they have not taken a position. The reference could be to the Chad Alternation Liberation Front (Fact), an armed group that in 2019 launched an offensive against then president Idriss Deby Itno, who was killed in April 2021. As for the hypothesis of an involvement of Sudanese fighters in other regional conflicts, Al Tegani confirmed the reports already circulated according to which "some Sudanese" have already joined the conflict in Libya, "especially the militias who were fighting with (the head of the self-proclaimed Libyan National Army, General) Khalifa Haftar, and the same thing happened with Chad and the Central African Republic". “Wagner is an international and security company looking to invest, war is like a big global investment,” he commented.įrom this point of view, the analyst also reads N'Djamena's decision to close the border a few hours after the outbreak of war in Khartoum, "just as two months earlier Dagalo had denounced the attempt by some soldiers to take power in the Central African Republic, which prompted him to immediately close the border with Bangui". "Blood ties are stronger than nationality or national identity," added the analyst, also confirming that the group of Russian mercenaries Wagner has interests in Sudan. These countries are fragile and Sudan has economic, commercial and people exchanges with them,” Al Tegani said. “All the countries that share the border with Sudan – such as the Central African Republic, Chad and Libya – face security challenges. Questioned by "Nova Agency", the peace studies expert Abbas Al Tegani stressed that Sudan plays a central role in the region due to the presence of various ethnic groups within it, and for this reason the hypothesis that the conflict extends beyond the border is concrete, if not probable. This is what was stated to "Agenzia Nova" by some sources contacted on the spot, according to which it is probable that some ethnic groups of Chad are already involved in the Sudanese conflict since over 700 formations are active along the approximately 20 km common border with Sudan armies. The ongoing war in Sudan may have repercussions at a regional level and risks spreading to other countries in the region - above all Libya and Chad - with the possible involvement of armed groups in Darfur and Chadian rebels.
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